The latest catch cry being shouted everywhere (sick of hearing it) is that ‘We must declare a climate emergency!‘. Local councils especially are jumping onto this bandwagon and declaring that there is now a climate emergency. What exactly is the emergency and what rescue, recovery and mitigation activities are these councils undertaking? When an emergency is declared, it usually involves a real and present danger or attending to the after effects of some natural disaster that has affected a vast area and/or number of people. All I see about me, after these declarations have been made, are people going about their normal business. No one appears to be aware that an emergency is afoot and that they are now subject to emergency action as detailed by whatever procedures normally take affect in such circumstances. We may have fire emergencies, flood emergencies, cyclone emergencies etc, but what is a climate emergency?
That’s because they made the prediction back in 2004 and said all that would happen by 2020, which is just 5 days away.
“Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe costing millions of lives in wars and natural disasters,” reported left-wing newspaper the Guardian on February 22, 2004.
“A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a ‘Siberian’ climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread rioting will erupt across the world,” the report added.
Of course all of these climate emergency declarations are just the hype to support the latest Conference of the Parties (COP), the United Nations Climate Change Conference held each year (since 1997), where thousands of representatives fly in from all over the world, to wring their hands over their faux climate change fears and how they need more money to overcome the latest climate crisis. Every year when a COP is held, the climate change ‘crisis’ is hyped up by all and sundry in an attempt to give this meeting some gravitas. Every incidence of a warm day is elevated to a crisis, yet cold days are always ignored, and the media hyperventilates and attempts to make anything and everything about the ever changing weather into an impending disaster. For 22 years these ‘save the world’ conferences have been held. For even more years the earth has been doomed due to climate change. For just as many years the climate worriers have been wailing about the death of the planet. But in all that time, nothing dire has happened, life goes on and far from dying, the planet is greener than it was 20 years ago. ‘Are We Doomed?’ by John Stossel:
However, since existing hysteria and language isn’t working, as people are simply getting fed up with all the Chicken Little ‘The sky is falling’ guff‘, the climate worriers now want to change the language used and make things even more catastrophic sounding. Hence the ‘climate emergency‘ rhetoric. It truly is becoming a Chicken Little situation where the climate worriers are becoming ever more strident and trying to inculcate as much fear and concern as they possibly can. But after around 30 or so years of tipping points and the list of disasters caused by climate change ever growing, nothing has changed. life goes on as before. In desperation the climate worriers turn up the shouting, become ever more strident and irrational and resort to maximum disruption to everyone’s daily life. No wonder fewer and fewer people take these idiots seriously. ‘Climate Change: Everywhere is Warming Twice as Fast As Everywhere Else!’ – Computing Forever:
And all the while we have CEOs of power companies and industry etc calling for action on climate change, seeking increased subsidies for renewable energy, insisting that renewable energy is now cheaper than coal. Why not show some leadership and courage and tell shareholders, the government and Australians that they will now invest in renewable energy without taxpayer subsidies to show the way and take positive action against climate change? These CEOs want everyone else to make sacrifices, so why not walk the walk and not just talk the talk? When it comes to climate change, from where does the strident wailing come from? The Left (who are always looking to change our way of life) and those who will benefit the most from grants and the like (bankers, financiers and other corporate types): ‘Follow the (Climate Change) Money‘:
I noted that “In America and around the globe governments have created a multi-billion dollar Climate Change Industrial Complex.” And then I added: “A lot of people are getting really, really rich off of the climate change industry.” According to a recent report by the U.S. Government Accountability Office, “Federal funding for climate change research, technology, international assistance, and adaptation has increased from $2.4 billion in 1993 to $11.6 billion in 2014, with an additional $26.1 billion for climate change programs and activities provided by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act in 2009.”
This doesn’t mean that the planet isn’t warming. But the tidal wave of funding does reveal a powerful financial motive for scientists to conclude that the apocalypse is upon us. No one hires a fireman if there are no fires. No one hires a climate scientist (there are thousands of them now) if there is no catastrophic change in the weather. Why doesn’t anyone in the media ever mention this?
How big is the Climate Change Industrial Complex today? Surprisingly, no one seems to be keeping track of all the channels of funding. A few years ago Forbes magazine went through the federal budget and estimated about $150 billion in spending on climate change and green energy subsidies during President Obama’s first term.
Worldwide the numbers are gargantuan. Five years ago, a leftist group called the Climate Policy Initiative issued a study which found that “Global investment in climate change” reached $359 billion that year. Then to give you a sense of how money-hungry these planet-saviors are, the CPI moaned that this spending “falls far short of what’s needed” a number estimated at $5 trillion.
One of the issues with all of this climate emergency in Australia, is that the warming worriers think that by closing Australia down will save the world. No matter what we do, it will have zero effect due to countries like China and India alone moving ahead with industrialisation, negating the trivial amounts of CO2 that we produce. Australia’s contribution to CO2 emissions is about 1.4% of the total world emissions. People are saying we must lead the way (not sure why), but certainly no one else is doing anything remotely similar and definitely not even contemplating following in our footsteps. In fact China’s growth in coal fired power stations will dwarf any attempts that Australia makes to curb this supposed climate emergency and the former will exceed the entire world’s outputs by 2035. Yet there are still many in Australia who seem to believe that Australia working alone will make all the difference. And when you add India’s growth in coal fired power stations (who are also moving to nuclear, ‘Thriving on Thorium: India’s Future?‘), it becomes absolutely farcical to listen to, and even more so to implement, what our climate worriers want us to do which is transition back to the stone age.
Predictably, as summer approaches, the heat begins to rise and bushfires erupt as they always have, we start to hear the wailing of the climate worriers that this is all our fault and we must end all fossil fuel reliant industries. But even the diehards are beginning to question whether the bushfires are more due to lack of forest management than climate change. Even after the 2003 (PDF) and 2009 (PDF) Bushfire Royal Commissions, hardly any effort was taken to implement better forest management. And without fail, the Greens and their acolytes take political advantage of the bush fires and claim that climate change is responsible. They completely ignore the fact that they are central to causing these major fires because they are the ones who convince stupid governments and stupid Greens supporters not to undertake hazard reduction burning in the cooler months of the year. The environmental movement has certainly lost its way and I sometimes wonder whether the radical element has intentionally lobbied against fuel reduction burning so that bushfires become worse in order to support their aims. All one has to do is look at the mileage that the Greens etc are making from these bushfires, and no mention of fuel loads.
And on the current bushfires, I can relate first hand as to how significant the fuel loads can get. We’ve now lived in South Gippsland for eight years and we have approx 30 Messmate gums in our yard and there are more around us in adjoining properties. We have to clear leaves, branches, bark and sprouting tea tree and other plants almost weekly to ensure that things don’t get out of hand and this is all year round. All I have to do is extrapolate the situation in our yard to the High Country, that has had no clearing whatsoever in over 10 years, and you can easily see the danger that lies ahead. The last major fires were in 2009 and now again in 2019. Ten years of mounting fuel loads are the cause of these fires, not climate change. So you would think that if climate change is increasing the chances of major fires, that state governments would take greater action towards reducing the potential impacts. But no, those who are at greatest risk are the most ardent protesters against proper forest management.
And, as a final note, here are a few additional reminders of what the experts have predicted over the decades and got things very wrong:
End of Australian snow in sight – 16 Oct 2012:
Ice Age is Coming 1978 Science Facts by Leonard Nimoy:
The imminent collapse of civilisation in 1999. All the experts told us that it was inevitable, ‘Inside cabinet’s secret preparations for the disaster that never happened‘ – the Y2K bug:
Y2K, or the millennium bug, was a computer flaw feared to cause chaos when the date switched over to the year 2000.
“The Y2K problem poses potential international security risks in relation to reduced security and integrity of major weapons and weapons systems (including nuclear weapons) and civilian nuclear facilities,” they told cabinet in early 1999.
“There is no doubt that many overseas media … will be receptive to protest actions by indigenous and environmental groups, advocates for the homeless (the market for low-cost housing in Sydney is expected to become particularly tight at Games time) and other disaffected groups,” she reported.
“The media strategy will therefore need to include a strong emphasis on the positive efforts the government is making in these areas.”
And a touch of reality:
Update 1. Here’s something that’s completely surprised me as it was reported by the ABC and is barely mentioned if not completely ignored by today’s ‘experts‘:
Update 2. And here’s another expert with vast experience in models (like our ever reliable climate models?) who either doesn’t know anything or is simply lying through his teeth to further the climate change agenda, ‘More hazard-reduction burns not the answer, experts warn‘. Not only are fuel reduction burns in Victoria woefully inadequate, even land owners have difficulty in conducting burns due to council regulations and ex-fire chiefs are angry about the lack of fuel reduction. And did this expert even know about the Bushfire Royal Commission reports of 2003 and 2009? Both made specific reference to the lack of adequate fuel reduction burning. Fuel reduction burning has been declining in Victoria since the 2009 bushfires. If you don’t even try to do something, how can anyone say it won’t work?
But Associate Professor Philip Zylstra, from Wollongong University’s Centre for Sustainable Ecosystem Solutions, said fuel loads in forests, and state government management, were not responsible for the catastrophic fire season.
“I think that for the federal government to say there needs to be a focus on hazard-reduction burning at this stage appears to be passing the buck to the states,” he said.
“The reality is we are at a peak of prescribed burning by state agencies. More has been done in the past decade than in many, many decades.”
Update 3. There was one thing I hadn’t pointed out earlier, which was the first thing I noticed when I visited the Vic Emergency website for the earlier screen captures, was an area just west of Buchan that had burned in 2017 and with the fuel loads gone had no fires burning this year. We travelled through that area almost two year to the day when the latest fires started and I took in-car video of the area. While the ‘fuel load reduction’ in this area is extreme after such a fire, there has been two years for regrowth to emerge, yet the area is currently safe from fire.
Update 4. And with every disaster, there emerges every bastard under the sun, this time it’s looters and the inevitable charity scams. But what really made me shake my head was the NSW police statement that anyone caught looting would face the full force of the law. That is a complete joke. No one in Australia nowadays faces anything that ordinary people would consider justice for crimes committed. A snazzy lawyer and some hand wringing about a sad childhood and drug taking and the perpetrators would walk out of court with big grins on their faces already planning their next venture. But if the owner of a property being looted beat off the looters, they would most likely be in court facing serious assault charges and likely convicted to boot.
Update 5. The excuses keep growing and the blame is always tossed at climate change. Today the ABC reports that ‘Victorian fire chief says calls for more fuel reduction burns are an ’emotional load of rubbish‘, adding to more armchair expert opinion. Then an economist’s views are touted as being prophetic, ‘Ross Garnaut’s climate change prophecy is coming true and it’s going to cost Australia billions, experts warn‘. Yes, without ‘adequate action‘ we will face more frequent and sever fires. Sadly, those with real, on the ground, experience of bushfires and bushfire mitigation strategies are always ignored in favour of ‘The Fire Experts from Central Casting‘. This is going to be a very long year of accusations and recriminations but, at the end, I hope that some sanity and common sense will finally come out of it all. However, I have my doubts, as 30+ years of similar hand wringing has done very little; we just keep repeating history.
Update 6. This is my final update and a bit of a prediction that we are headed for something far worse than the 2019-2020 bushfires. As I pointed out in an earlier story, ‘Electric Vehicles – back To The 1800s‘ and ‘Affordable Electricity – A Fading Dream?‘, we have far worse ahead of us. Townships are currently concerned about tourism, ‘Gippsland tourism slumps badly as holidaymakers stay away‘, but these fires will be only a temporary setback compared to what’s to follow as our all knowing government decides that, ‘Victoria set to lead the way as Andrews eyes deepest carbon cuts yet‘:
Victoria’s state Labor government will sign off on deep new emission cut targets by the end of Australia’s horror bushfire summer, with potential reductions of up to 40 per cent likely to put pressure on the state’s ageing coal-fired power plants.
In a move that will expand the gap between Victorian and federal climate policy aims, the state government has confirmed it will comply with its obligations under its own Climate Change Act and impose emissions cuts targets of no less than 20 per cent by March 31.
Update 7. Nothing ever seems to be final. I came across this article and felt that it needed to be posted, ‘I Cheered When the Bushfire Came‘, it sums up everything that I’ve written on so many occasions:
With the eastern seaboard currently ravaged by bushfires, what sort of an idiot would actually cheer when one worked its way down the peninsular where he lived? I did, and there were a lot of others who did the same.
To understand why, we must go back over more than a year when a winter bushfire got going to the west of the town. It did for us what the volunteer firies couldn’t: it got rid of the ground fuel with minimal canopy scorch. No lives or property were lost. Had this ‘good’ bushfire not happened, the peninsular would have been obliterated this summer when a firestorm with winds gusting to 100kph came our way.
No fire fuel meant that it burned and went out. Simple as that. Today, as thousands of Australians confront the bushfire threat, we on the Tilligerry peninsular are safe. With only one year of fuel build-up we have little to worry about.
Update 8. I think it worthwhile that this be noted in this story, as it confirms everything that I’ve known and believed for some time now when it comes to the way our forests are managed and allowed to deteriorate, ‘Off the charts: Current fires are 20 times more intense than the largest fires humans can control‘:
Top fire expert David Packham says forget global warming. It’s the reckless failure to burn-off fuel loads that have turned parts of Australia into death traps. Near Melbourne “we’re looking down the barrel in these areas at 1000 deaths”.
His key point is that if we increase the fuel by ten, the fire intensity is 100 times greater. Today we are dealing with fire intensities with figures like 70MW/m. The maximum we can extinguish — with helicopters, bulldozers, tankers, is just 3MW/m.
“We now have fuel loads ten times greater than … what the indigenous people had.”
”Fuel load …is not behind a lot of it, it’s behind all of it.”
“The amount of fuel determines the amount of energy that is released”.
“The amount of fuel determines how fast the fire moves”
“The most dangerous place in the world is just north of the Yarra and the north facing slopes fo the Dandenongs.”
”The big threats are not just life, but the environmental damage, the threats to the water supply, and our electricity network.”